If we want to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers plus some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways be about timing. The earlier the price appears the much more likely there will be a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has become a big earner to them. They should do that because they are only too conscious that the serious punters are becoming much shrewder within this market and will exploit any snippets of news that could give them a good edge. They advertise heavily inside the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is simply too lucrative for this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes and other such big bookmakers are prepared to have a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This is clearly great news for your arb maker. Because of this the utmost bets they will likely accept on the bet are much higher.
There are numerous types of soccer bets. Firstly there is the match winner. This can be divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. There are the first goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards and so on. In reality anything where odds can be set to will provide a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you can find way too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the chances consistently available are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer industry is to start accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They are going to price the sport in their own individual country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to create a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers focused on the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This really is great news for all of us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed expertise in the comings and goings in their own countries they are depending on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There exists a tendency in punters to have patriotic when it comes to events in which the opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of the home team get talked up and the odds might get skewed in their favour as the weight of money is overly wagered inside their direction.
With that in mind the major bookmakers provide an early price, they will often advertise it within the national papers and by and large stick into it. Because of this a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may require a different opinion or try to tempt money in their direction by giving different odds. If the were to happen the arb may be available for a great deal of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick across the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But remember they may be ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds should be just like you together with me. They are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong along with other firms can take a completely different view of the end result of any game. An entirely different view will only result in a slight variation inside the odds but this can be sufficient to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are protected by a variety of bookmakers throughout Europe. This may however put in a complication. Although really simple for locating arbs, the mere proven fact that you pay attention to these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are going to get spotted through the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have got done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the advantages and disadvantages with this strategy.
It is a fairly obscure section of betting and when someone ended up being to check your bank account over several months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it could ring alarm bells. The motto is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different type of sport and events as is possible so that your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t be a problem as numerous different sports are great for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties will even produce arbs and they are less likely to bring in awareness of you and also the maximum bets will likely be higher.
As before you cannot control whether or not the individual bets win or lose but soccer is really a 3 way result therefore 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can come in handy on your account. The point here is that does not so many people are considering the lower European divisions plus it may become clear that the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is especially valid in case your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. If a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and he is the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices since the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can act as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through among the many soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all of the games and are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all at the same time, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where charges are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new prices are the one that wont change the previous price is the one that is going to therefore may be lost in case you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are much more likely to appear.
Recently the English referees have become more lenient inside the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total quantity of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others did not. This may affect the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for any yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity involving the teams in which case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet is not going to figure strongly in your plans. Plus it is unusual to discover information being issued that will change the total bookings bet. But a basic part of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The final outcome is not to anticipate too much sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards however it not so difficult to check the odds.